The 89.5% Trap: What the On-Chain Data Reveals About the Maine Senate Prediction Market
Hook: The Invariant That Slipped The data suggests a single debate performanc...
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2026-07-18
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Fear & Greed
25
Extreme Fear
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Event Calendar
202610
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
08
04
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Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
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All →
1
Bitcoin
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1
Ethereum
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1
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$75.01
1
BNB Chain
BNB
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1
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1
Dogecoin
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1
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1
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1
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0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
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0x636d...350c
30m ago
Stake
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🟢
0xddaa...1874
3h ago
In
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🟢
0x928a...9484
5m ago
In
4,012 ETH
💡 Smart Money
0x6416...bcb1
Arbitrage Bot
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64%
0xbde0...fb1a
Institutional Custody
+$4.4M
88%
0xc165...be63
Arbitrage Bot
+$0.4M
90%